Risk
Controlled Model Portfolios
Our
risk-controlled model investment portfolios have been designed to meet the
varying objectives of investors who want to earn attractive returns and
preserve capital during turbulent markets.
Our
model portfolios below show how we typically diversify our investment
portfolios among several investment strategies for various risk
levels. The Investment strategies are designated as either
"core" or "trend" strategies. Core strategies
are managed using a traditional long term approach, regardless of market
cycles. Trend strategies apply trend following methods in order to
reduce market exposure during down trends.
1.
Conservative
Estimated
average annual return: 7.5%
Potential
bear market decline of 5%
Downside
risk similar to 30/50/20 Blended Index
|
Asset
Class
|
Investment
Strategy
|
Pct.
|
|
Cash
Equiv
|
Core
- Money Market
|
2%
|
|
Bonds
|
Core
- High Quality Bonds
|
20%
|
|
|
Core
- Trust Deeds
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- High Yield Bond
|
28%
|
|
Real
Estate
|
Core
- REITs or Apt Bldgs
|
10%
|
|
Stocks
|
Core
- Dividend Inc Stocks
|
20%
|
|
|
Trend
- Global ETFs
|
10%
|
2.
Moderate
Estimated
average annual return: 8.0%
Potential
bear market decline of 6%
Downside
risk similar to 35/55/10 Blended Index
|
Asset
Class
|
Investment
Strategy
|
Pct.
|
|
Cash
Equiv
|
Core
- Money Market
|
2%
|
|
Bonds
|
Core
- High Quality Bonds
|
10%
|
|
|
Core
- Trust Deeds
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- High Yield Bond
|
28%
|
|
Real
Estate
|
Core
- REITs or Apt Bldgs
|
10%
|
|
Stocks
|
Core
- Dividend Inc Stocks
|
15%
|
|
|
Trend
- Large Cap Stocks
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- Global ETFs
|
15%
|
3.
Balanced
Estimated
average annual return: 8.5%
Potential
bear market decline of 8%
Downside
risk similar to 40/50/10 Blended Index
|
Asset
Class
|
Investment
Strategy
|
Pct.
|
|
Cash
Equiv
|
Core
- Money Market
|
2%
|
|
Bonds
|
Core
- Trust Deeds
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- High Yield Bond
|
28%
|
|
Real
Estate
|
Core
- REITs or Apt Bldgs
|
10%
|
|
Stocks
|
Core
- Dividend Inc Stocks
|
15%
|
|
|
Trend
- Large Cap Stocks
|
15%
|
|
|
Trend
- Mid Cap Stocks
|
5%
|
|
|
Trend
- Global ETFs
|
15%
|
4.
Growth & Income
Estimated
average annual return: 9.0%
Potential
bear market decline of 10%
Downside
risk similar to 45/55/10 Blended Index
|
Asset
Class
|
Investment
Strategy
|
Pct.
|
|
Cash
Equiv
|
Core
- Money Market
|
2%
|
|
Bonds
|
Core
- Trust Deeds
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- High Yield Bond
|
18%
|
|
Real
Estate
|
Core
- REITs or Apt Bldgs
|
10%
|
|
Stocks
|
Core
- Dividend Inc Stocks
|
15%
|
|
|
Trend
- Large Cap Stocks
|
18%
|
|
|
Trend
- Mid Cap Stocks
|
7%
|
|
|
Trend
- Global ETFs
|
20%
|
5.
Diversified Growth
Estimated
average annual return: 9.5%
Potential
bear market decline of 12%
Downside
risk similar to 50/50/0 Blended Index
|
Asset
Class
|
Investment
Strategy
|
Pct.
|
|
Cash
Equiv
|
Core
- Money Market
|
1%
|
|
Bonds
|
Trend
- High Yield Bond
|
9%
|
|
|
Core
- Trust Deeds
|
10%
|
|
Real
Estate
|
Core
- REITs or Apt Bldgs
|
10%
|
|
Stocks
|
Core
- Dividend Inc Stocks
|
15%
|
|
|
Trend
- Large Cap Stocks
|
20%
|
|
|
Trend
- Mid Cap Stocks
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- Global ETFs
|
25%
|
Estimated
average annual returns for the Risk Controlled Model Portfolios above are
provided for long term financial planning purposes. These estimates
are based on current market and economic conditions and are subject to
change.
Risk
levels are considered to be potential bear market declines (i.e., draw-down)
that occur about 1 year in 10. These estimates are based on a
30% decline in the S&P 500 over a 12 month period.
Each
model portfolio has comparable downside risk (during a bear market)
to the blended indices consisting of S&P 500 Composite Index,
the Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index, and the Citigroup 3 Month T-Bill
index in the ratios given.