Schultz Financial Mgmt Corp

 

Risk-Controlled Portfolios for Serious Investors

Model Portfolios
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Model Portfolios

 

 

Our risk-controlled model investment portfolios have been designed to meet the varying objectives of investors who want to earn attractive returns and reduce portfolio risk during turbulent markets.

 

Our model portfolios illustrate how we may diversify investor portfolios among multiple types of investment categories (i.e., asset classes).  Within a particular asset class, we may use multiple investment styles in order to further reduce portfolio risk.

 

We use "core" and "trend" to distinguish between two  distinctly different investment styles.  Our core investment styles are managed in a traditional fashion and typically would stay mostly invested throughout a full business cycle.  Our trend investment styles apply trend following techniques in order to reduce market exposure during down trends.

 

These model portfolio are for illustrative purposes only.   Actual client portfolios are designed with consideration also given to client expressed investment preferences or biases, income requirements, outside held investments (i.e., employer retirement plans, annuities, real estate, etc.), tax ramifications, and other factors.

   

1.  Conservative

 

Estimated average annual return: 7.0%

Potential drawdown of 6%

Downside risk similar to 25/50/25 Blended Index

 

Asset Class

Investment Style

Pct.

Cash Equiv

Core - Money Market

2%

Bonds  

Core - High Quality Bonds

30%

    

Trend - Bond Funds

28%

Real Estate

Core - Apartment Buildings

10%

Stocks  

Core - Dividend Inc Stocks

8%

    

Trend - Large Cap Stocks

12%

Trend - Global ETFs

10%

   

 

2.  Moderate

 

Estimated average annual return: 7.5%

Potential drawdown of 9%

Downside risk similar to 30/50/20 Blended Index

 

Asset Class

Investment Style

Pct.

Cash Equiv

Core - Money Market

2%

Bonds

Core - High Quality Bonds

20%

 

Trend - Bond Funds

28%

Real Estate

Core - Apartment Buildings

10%

Stocks

Core - Dividend Inc Stocks

10%

 

Trend - Large Cap Stocks

15%

 

Trend - Global ETFs

15%

 

   

3.  Balanced

 

Estimated average annual return: 8.0%

Potential drawdown of 12%

Downside risk similar to 35/50/15 Blended Index

 

Asset Class

Investment Style

Pct.

Cash Equiv

Core - Money Market

2%

Bonds

Core - High Quality Bonds

10%

 

Trend - Bond Funds

28%

Real Estate

Core - Apartment Buildings

10%

Stocks

Core - Dividend Inc Stocks

10%

 

Trend - Large Cap Stocks

15%

 

Trend - Mid Cap Stocks

5%

 

Trend - Global ETFs

20%

   

 

4.  Growth & Income

 

Estimated average annual return: 8.5%

Potential drawdown of 15%

Downside risk similar to 40/50/10 Blended Index

 

Asset Class

Investment Style

Pct.

Cash Equiv

Core - Money Market

2%

Bonds  

Trend - Bond Funds

28%

Real Estate

Core - Apartment Buildings

10%

Stocks

Core - Dividend Inc Stocks

10%

 

Trend - Large Cap Stocks 

18%

 

Trend - Mid Cap Stocks

7%

 

Trend - Global ETFs

25%

   

 

 

Estimated average annual returns (net of fees) for the Risk Controlled Model Portfolios above are provided for long term financial planning purposes.  These estimates are based on current market and economic conditions and are subject to change.   

 

Estimated risk levels are considered to be potential portfolio drawdowns (i.e., decline in portfolio value) that may occur in a bear market which usually occurs every 5-10 years.  These estimates are based on a 40% decline in the S&P 500 over a 24 month period.   However, during extreme bear market conditions or catastrophic events, portfolio declines could be considerably larger.

 

It is estimated that each model portfolio has comparable downside risk (during a bear market)  to a blended index of stocks, bonds, and cash equivalents in the rations given.  For example a blended index of "30/50/20" indicate 30% S&P 500 stocks, 50% LB bonds, 20% 3 month T-bills.  The blended indices used are the S&P 500 Index, the LB Aggregate Bond Index, and the Citigroup 3 Month T-Bill index.

Definition of Terms

 

To assist you in understanding our  investment approach and how we might design a diversified portfolio, we have described our investment terms below.

 

Model Portfolios:

These are  hypothetical portfolios that are diversified among multiple investment strategies according to their specified target allocations.  These models are provided for illustrative purposes only to aid in the investment planning process.

 

Asset Class:

This refers to the type of investment asset (e.g., stocks, bonds, real estate, etc.).  Diversification among these different asset classes in commonly referred to as asset allocation.

 

Investment Style:

This refers to an investment approach to buying or selling securities within an asset class.  We use "core" and "trend" to distinguish between two  distinctly different approaches that we use.

 

Our core investments would typically stay mostly invested throughout a full business cycle.

 

Our trend following investments attempt to reduce market exposure during downtrends in order to preserve capital.

 

Potential Drawdown

This term is used to illustrate how large of a drawdown or decline in value a model portfolio may experience during a bear market assuming a decline of 40% in the S&P 500. 

 

Blended Index

This is used for comparison with a more traditional passive index portfolio which we believe to have similar downside risk during a bear market.

 

   
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© Schultz Financial Management 2002