Model Portfolios
Our
risk-controlled model investment portfolios have been designed to meet the
varying objectives of investors who want to earn attractive returns and
reduce portfolio risk during turbulent markets.
Our
model portfolios illustrate how we may diversify investor portfolios among
multiple types of investment categories (i.e., asset classes).
Within a particular asset class, we may use multiple investment styles in
order to further reduce portfolio risk.
We use "core" and "trend"
to
distinguish between two distinctly different investment
styles. Our core
investment styles are managed in a traditional fashion and typically would
stay mostly invested throughout a full business cycle. Our trend
investment styles apply trend following techniques in order to
reduce market exposure during down trends.
These
model portfolio are for illustrative purposes only. Actual
client portfolios are designed with consideration also given to client
expressed investment preferences or biases, income requirements, outside
held investments (i.e., employer retirement plans, annuities, real estate,
etc.), tax ramifications, and other factors.
1.
Conservative
Estimated
average annual return: 7.0%
Potential drawdown of 6%
Downside
risk similar to 25/50/25 Blended Index
|
Asset
Class
|
Investment
Style
|
Pct.
|
|
Cash
Equiv
|
Core
- Money Market
|
2%
|
|
Bonds
|
Core
- High Quality Bonds
|
30%
|
|
|
Trend
- Bond Funds
|
28%
|
|
Real
Estate
|
Core
- Apartment Buildings
|
10%
|
|
Stocks
|
Core
- Dividend Inc Stocks
|
8%
|
|
|
Trend
- Large Cap Stocks
|
12%
|
|
Trend -
Global ETFs |
10%
|
2.
Moderate
Estimated
average annual return: 7.5%
Potential drawdown of 9%
Downside
risk similar to 30/50/20 Blended Index
|
Asset
Class
|
Investment
Style
|
Pct.
|
|
Cash
Equiv
|
Core
- Money Market
|
2%
|
|
Bonds
|
Core
- High Quality Bonds
|
20%
|
|
|
Trend
- Bond Funds
|
28%
|
|
Real
Estate
|
Core
- Apartment Buildings
|
10%
|
|
Stocks
|
Core
- Dividend Inc Stocks
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- Large Cap Stocks
|
15%
|
|
|
Trend
- Global ETFs
|
15%
|
3.
Balanced
Estimated
average annual return: 8.0%
Potential drawdown of 12%
Downside
risk similar to 35/50/15 Blended Index
|
Asset
Class
|
Investment
Style
|
Pct.
|
|
Cash
Equiv
|
Core
- Money Market
|
2%
|
|
Bonds
|
Core
- High Quality Bonds
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- Bond Funds
|
28%
|
|
Real
Estate
|
Core
- Apartment Buildings
|
10%
|
|
Stocks
|
Core
- Dividend Inc Stocks
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- Large Cap Stocks
|
15%
|
|
|
Trend
- Mid Cap Stocks
|
5%
|
|
|
Trend
- Global ETFs
|
20%
|
4.
Growth & Income
Estimated
average annual return: 8.5%
Potential drawdown of
15%
Downside
risk similar to 40/50/10 Blended Index
|
Asset
Class
|
Investment
Style
|
Pct.
|
|
Cash
Equiv
|
Core
- Money Market
|
2%
|
|
Bonds
|
Trend
- Bond Funds
|
28%
|
|
Real
Estate
|
Core
- Apartment Buildings
|
10%
|
|
Stocks
|
Core
- Dividend Inc Stocks
|
10%
|
|
|
Trend
- Large Cap Stocks
|
18%
|
|
|
Trend
- Mid Cap Stocks
|
7%
|
|
|
Trend
- Global ETFs
|
25%
|
Estimated
average annual returns (net of fees) for the Risk Controlled Model Portfolios above are
provided for long term financial planning purposes. These estimates
are based on current market and economic conditions and are subject to
change.
Estimated
risk
levels are considered to be potential portfolio drawdowns (i.e., decline
in portfolio value)
that may occur in a bear market which usually occurs every 5-10 years. These estimates are based on a
40% decline in the S&P 500 over a 24 month period.
However, during extreme bear market conditions or catastrophic events,
portfolio declines could be considerably larger.
It
is estimated that each
model portfolio has comparable downside risk (during a bear market)
to a blended index of stocks, bonds, and cash equivalents in the rations
given. For example a blended index of "30/50/20" indicate
30% S&P 500 stocks, 50% LB bonds, 20% 3 month T-bills. The blended indices
used are the S&P 500 Index,
the LB Aggregate Bond Index, and the Citigroup 3 Month T-Bill
index.